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Merits of an NFL Handicapper
Don’t fall for the hype. Many sports bettors will place a wager on a team because of a single player or group of players, but oftentimes, these players happen to be overrated, thus making the team more susceptible to a loss. Quarterbacks especially fall into this category since they are the primary playmaker for a team’s offense. A mediocre quarterback, or a good quarterback having a mediocre years, can easily tilt a game out of contention with a few poor plays.
Look at QB Jay Cutler and the Bears as an example. Cutler is a good quarterback, but he is prone to mediocre play because of his team’s offensive line. The Week Four game against the New York Giants is a great example of this. The Bears were undefeated going into this game and the Giants were in a slump, causing many people to bet on the Bears. But if you had looked at the three games that took place before the Giants game, you would have seen a problem. For one, all three of their games were close. All three games were against poorly performing teams as well. So when the Bears travelled to New York, they were in a vulnerable position. The Giants’ defense completely shut down Jay Cutler and only allowed them to score a single field goal.
This is not to say that the Bears are a bad team. They have some glaring weaknesses though, and the Giants were prepared to exploit these weak spots. A careful examination of the first three games of the season would have revealed this.
Another example is Tony Romo and his Dallas Cowboys. Going into this season, people were hyping this team as a contender for the Super Bowl. A series of devastating losses early in the season surprised many bettors and dashed the Cowboys’ hopes for an easy road to the playoffs. Going into Week Seven, the Cowboys have a 1-4 record, their lone win coming from a victory in Houston against the Texans. These losses should not have come as a surprise, though. The Cowboys did little to improve over the offseason, their main acquisition being rookie receiver Dez Bryant. Tony Romo is still Tony Romo, he has another year experience, but this does not necessarily translate into an improvement. The Cowboys finished their season last year at 11-5, tying for the lead in their Division with the Philadelphia Eagles. But this season’s schedule looks to be much more difficult than last year’s; without major improvements to the team, they will not finish with quite as impressive of a record.
Currently, the Cowboys are last in their Division—don’t be surprised to see this go unchanged throughout the season. The Redskins have picked up a great quarterback in Donovan McNabb, the Eagles have some much needed depth with Kevin Kolb leading the team and Michael Vick backing him up, and the Giants are recovering from a shaky start to show that they are the dominant team that they once were. The Cowboys have a lot of ground to make up, and need quite a bit of luck to do so.
About the Author
JV Sports is a top NFL handicapper. Visit our web site for NFL handicapping commentary and picks.
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